Feb 262012
 

Ashley went to New York this weekend, so I had her go to my favorite Japanese bookstore and pick up a bunch of books in Japanese for me. As I started reading one of the books (Haruki Murakami’s ノルウェイの森), I remembered reading this section from another book…

The fact is that Japanese, especially for those of us who have learned to read it after childhood, never loses its exotic appeal; each page turned reveals to the eye a new spectacle of outlandish squiggles that momentarily takes the breath away. There is a thrill in realizing that you can process this stuff with your very own brain. I have long been convinced that, as we speak — but especially as we read this foreign tongue — just beneath the threshold of consciousness, a voice continually shouts, “Look, Mom, I’m reading Japanese!”

That’s from Making Sense of Japanese by Jay Rubin. If you’re trying to learn Japanese, it’s a great book. Even after having lived there for about two years, it still taught me quite a few new things about the language. The way the book is written, too, makes it very enjoyable to read.

p.s. I’ve been working on my kanji study for about a month now. I’m able to read around 500-600, and I can write about half that many. Someone please call me an おつかれさま.

Feb 252012
 

I just finished reading Blowback: The Costs and Consequences of American Empire, written by Chalmers Johnson (read his bio section on Wikipedia, he seems pretty legit) and originally published in 2000, about a year and a half before the terrorist attacks of September 11. He makes a fairly decent account of American foreign policy in Asia during the Cold War, arguing that while Russia was setting up “satellites” in Eastern Europe, the United States was setting up satellites in East Asia, most notably in Japan and South Korea.

He predicted that our foreign policy would eventually result in negative blowback; however, he predicted it would come primarily from East Asian countries. In some ways, it has (via “economic blowback”), but the form of blowback which stands out the most to most Americans has come from Islamic extremists.

I want to share one paragraph from the book that seemed, to me, fairly accurate:

“Blowback” is shorthand for saying that a nation reaps what it sows, even if it does not fully know or understand what it has sown. Given its wealth and power, the United States will be a prime recipient in the foreseeable future of all of the more expectable forms of blowback, particularly terrorist attacks against Americans in and out of the armed forces anywhere on earth, including within the United States. But it is blowback in its larger aspect — the tangible costs of empire — that truly threatens it. Empires are costly operations, and they become more costly by the year. The hollowing out of American industry, for instance, is a form of blowback — an unintended negative consequence of American policy — even though it is seldom recognized as such. The growth of militarism in a once democratic society is another example of blowback. Empire is the problem. Even thou the United States has a strong sense of invulnerability and substantial military and economic tools to make such a feeling credible, the fact of its imperial pretensions means that a crisis is inevitable. More imperialist projects simply generate more blowback. If we do not begin to solve problems in more prudent and modest ways, blowback will only become more intense.

I think every American should read this book. Even with its faults (it has some), it is full of wisdom and warning.

Feb 252012
 

Harvard economist Greg Mankiw posted a funny, hypothetical dialog about how economists measure “the unemployment rate.” If you’re a non-economist, you might have to read slowly or read it a couple times to understand what’s going on. That is because economists are ridiculous and like to do things to confuse you. (Mankiw’s post is here, by the way, but I’ve provided the entirety of the exchange below.)

COSTELLO: I want to talk about the unemployment rate in America.

ABBOTT: Good “subject”. Terrible “times”. It’s about 9%.

COSTELLO: That many people are out of work?

ABBOTT: No, that’s 16%.

COSTELLO: You just said 9%.

ABBOTT: 9% Unemployed.

COSTELLO: Right. 9% out of work.

ABBOTT: No, that’s 16%.

COSTELLO: Okay, so it’s 16% unemployed.

ABBOTT: No, that’s 9%…

COSTELLO: WAIT A MINUTE. Is it 9% or 16%?

ABBOTT: 9% are unemployed. 16% are out of work.

COSTELLO: If you are out of work you are unemployed.

ABBOTT: No, you can’t count the “Out of Work” as the unemployed.  You have to look for work to be unemployed.

COSTELLO: But … they are out of work!

ABBOTT: No, you miss my point.

COSTELLO: What point?

ABBOTT: Someone who doesn’t look for work, can’t be counted with those who look for work. It wouldn’t be fair.

COSTELLO: To who?

ABBOTT: The unemployed.

COSTELLO: But they are ALL out of work.

ABBOTT: No, the unemployed are actively looking for work…Those who are out of work stopped looking. They gave up. And, if you give up, you are no longer in the ranks of the unemployed.

COSTELLO: So if you’re off the unemployment roles, that would count as less unemployment?

ABBOTT: Unemployment would go down. Absolutely!

COSTELLO: The unemployment just goes down because you don’t look for work?

ABBOTT: Absolutely it goes down. That’s how you get to 9%. Otherwise it would be 16%.  You don’t want to read about 16% unemployment do ya?

COSTELLO: That would be frightening.

ABBOTT: Absolutely.

COSTELLO: Wait, I got a question for you. That means they’re two ways to bring down the unemployment number?

ABBOTT: Two ways is correct.

COSTELLO: Unemployment can go down if someone gets a job?

ABBOTT: Correct.

COSTELLO: And unemployment can also go down if you stop looking for a job?

ABBOTT: Bingo.

COSTELLO: So there are two ways to bring unemployment down, and the easier of the two is to just stop looking for work.

ABBOTT: Now you’re thinking like an economist.

COSTELLO: I don’t even know what the hell I just said!

Feb 242012
 

The term “invisible hand” is often used pejoratively by pundits, and my guess is that it’s because they have no idea what they’re talking about. Adam Smith used the term twice in his book An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth of Nations, and I’ll quote one of the times below:

It is not from the benevolence of the butcher, the brewer, or the baker, that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest.

Later, he explains further,

[The individual] generally, indeed, neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it… By directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention. Nor is it always the worse for the society that it was no part of it. By pursuing his own interest he frequently promotes that of the society more effectually than when he really intends to promote it.

Smith is really circling around the creation of wealth here. The intent and purpose of the butcher, brewer, or baker, is to increase their own personal wealth. But by the very nature of what trade accomplishes, wealth is created for the person purchasing from the butcher, brewer, or baker.

The invisible hand isn’t a metaphor for the rich exploiting the poor or some other such nonsense, as people mistakenly make it out to be, but a metaphor for the way people pursue their own personal wealth, and through the beauty of trade, end up making others wealthy as well.

Feb 212012
 

Bashiok, Blizzard’s Community Manager, gave us this little gem last week (and I just saw it now):

Stop thinking about how awesome this game could be. Just imagine it’s a new M. Night Shyamalan movie. Sure Sixth Sense was amazing and Unbreakable had it’s moments, but this right here is the sequel to The Village … or The Happening … or Signs … or any of the movies besides the two I first mentioned. So just like, lower those expectations, but still definitely buy the game please, and everything will be just fine. K?

Comparing Diablo III not just to a crappy Shyamalan movie, but to the sequel of one of those movies? Yikes. And it seems like a bad way to say things even if he was joking. [source]

Feb 212012
 

I’ve heard people say about rich people, “They couldn’t have gotten where they are without the masses buying their products — if we hadn’t bought what they were selling, they wouldn’t be rich.” This is followed by some assertion that the rich person owes society something in return.

But here’s the problem with that. That rich person already gave us something — they made us wealthier by providing a great product or service. Millions of people have been made wealthier by using Amazon. Millions have been made wealthier by using Apple and Microsoft and Google and Facebook products. Millions have been made wealthier by shopping at Walmart. The list goes on and on.

In the end, if you added up all the wealth that’s been created on the consumer side of the equation by companies who have multimillionaire or multibillionaire CEOs, you’d probably find that “wealth inequality” is a total misnomer. These individuals society so readily vilifies have not only made themselves incredibly wealthy, but they’ve made us wealthy as well.

Feb 202012
 

Economists have come up with graphs to explain how wealth is created, and they’ve coined some terms they like to use to describe it, and these terms can be confusing to the non-economist. But it’s really quite simple.

If you’re a buyer/consumer: If you purchase something and pay less for it than you’d be willing to spend on it, you are wealthier.

If you’re a seller/producer: If you create and sell something for more than it cost you to create and sell it, you are wealthier.

Any time a voluntary transaction takes place, wealth is created on one or both sides of the deal.

(A side note: Newton’s laws of motion start to break down in certain situations, but they are still applicable and accurate to most of the phenomena we can experience or describe in the physical world. In the same way, there are of course some caveats to trade and wealth which I have no intention of addressing here, because in the vast majority of cases what I’ve written above is applicable and accurate.)

Next post: wealth inequality.

Feb 172012
 

I can’t decide who is crazier, conservatives or liberals. To demonstrate, here are some caricatures of both.

Conservative: The welfare system is broken. Social Security is broken. These systems are too complex for the government to manage them; they should be left up to the market. But I support the military — I even think it should get more money, because it keeps us safe and defends our freedom!

Liberal: Oh the injustice!– we lock up millions of drug users and deport innocent “illegal” immigrants every year, not to mention we are waging several unjust wars* and the CIA spies on us! But the government should manage the health care system, because corporations are corrupt.

* I hardly ever hear this particular complaint anymore, now that a Nobel Peace Prize winner is the Commander-in-Chief.

Feb 092012
 

Yesterday I overheard the tail-end of a conversation between two women. The concluding statement was something like, “And you know him — He likes to analyze everything because he’s a teacher.” She said it as if being a teacher causes one to be an analyzer.

Statements like this are commonplace. We (myself included) think them and make them all the time. The problem is they’re not always correct. In fact, I think they’re often completely backwards. How did the women know that his being a teacher caused him to analyze everything? Instead, maybe it was his analytical nature that carried him down the path to teacher-hood.

You might think I’m nit-picking here (I’ll grant I do that a lot), but I think this everyday “trivial” thing actually has some potentially big consequences.

Take, for example, higher education. Most people think that you go to college to “get educated” or “get smarter.” But what if the cause-and-effect here is backwards? What if it’s not “going to college makes you smarter” but “being smarter makes you go to college”? There’s a lot of evidence that the correct way to look at college is, in fact, the latter of those two phrases — enough evidence that I know someone writing a book on the subject. If enough people (particularly those in charge of public policy) think “college makes you smart,” then policies get pushed that encourage college-attendance. But if it’s being smart that makes you go to college, maybe there are a lot of people going to college who shouldn’t be. Anyway, I’m not going to discuss this example any further, because soon enough we’ll be able to read an entire book about it.

I merely want to encourage you to try to pay attention to all the times in the day that people make claims that “x causes y,” and then stop, and really think about it. Question it. Say to yourself, “Does x cause y, or does y cause x?”

Feb 072012
 

In light of today’s news, I thought about writing up a post expressing my views on the issue*, but it would take me more than about ten minutes, and I just don’t have that kind of time right now. Instead, I’ll post the following Internet classic.

  1. Being gay is not natural. Real Americans always reject unnatural things like eyeglasses, polyester, and air conditioning.
  2. Gay marriage will encourage people to be gay, in the same way that hanging around tall people will make you tall.
  3. Gay marriage will change the foundation of society; we could never adapt to new social norms. Just like we haven’t adapted to cars, the service-sector economy, or longer life spans.
  4. Straight marriage has been around a long time and hasn’t changed at all; women are still property, blacks still can’t marry whites, and divorce is still illegal.
  5. Straight marriage will be less meaningful if gay marriage were allowed; the sanctity of Brittany Spears’ 55-hour just-for-fun marriage would be destroyed.
  6. Straight marriages are valid because they produce children. Gay couples, infertile couples, and old people shouldn’t be allowed to marry because our orphanages aren’t full yet, and the world needs more children.
  7. Obviously gay parents will raise gay children, since straight parents only raise straight children.
  8. Gay marriage is not supported by religion. In a theocracy like ours, the values of one religion are imposed on the entire country. That’s why we have only one religion in America.
  9. Children can never succeed without a male and a female role model at home. That’s why we as a society expressly forbid single parents to raise children.
  10. Legalizing gay marriage will open the door to all kinds of crazy behavior. People may even wish to marry their pets because a dog has legal standing and can sign a marriage contract.

* Briefly: “Allowing gay marriage” and “disallowing gay marriage” are both Bad Things; no, those aren’t  the only two options. But since the overwhelming majority of people think those are the only two options, then I guess “Allowing gay marriage” is the less bad of the Bads. So practically speaking, today’s news is good news, I guess. But it’s not ideal.